This looks like a close contest, but we give a slight edge to LA.

Key matchups

Each unit ranked against all 32 teams on 2026 play-by-play through week 2. Longer bar is better; a gold rank marks the side with the edge.

When the Rams have the balloffence against defence, rank of 32 (1st is best)

LA offence

DEN defence

OverallEPA per play

15th

23rd

PassingEPA per dropback

14th

12th

RushingEPA per carry

16th

32nd

Third downconversion rate

14th

26th

Pass protectionsack rate: allowed vs forced

3rd

19th

Biggest gap: rushing, where the Rams offence has a 16-place edge.

When the Broncos have the balloffence against defence, rank of 32 (1st is best)

DEN offence

LA defence

OverallEPA per play

24th

9th

PassingEPA per dropback

27th

5th

RushingEPA per carry

12th

21st

Third downconversion rate

29th

16th

Pass protectionsack rate: allowed vs forced

16th

29th

Biggest gap: passing, where the Rams defence has a 22-place edge.

Only 2 weeks of data so far: treat ranks as a direction, not a verdict.

Form and history

Rams this season

L7-27wk 1 vs SFW28-6wk 2 vs NYG

Broncos this season

L10-31wk 1 at KCW20-13wk 2 vs JAX

Last 1 meetingsLA 1 · DEN 0

14-51DEN at LA
2022-12

Injury report

Ramsmodel impact 0.0

No players on the injury report.

Broncosmodel impact 0.0

Caleb LohnerTE · Lower Body	IR
Matt HenningsenDE · Achilles	IR
Levelle BaileyLB · Leg	IR
Nick GargiuloOL · Knee	PUP
Michael DeiterOL · Quadriceps	IR
Frank CrumOT	IR
Marvin MimsWR · Foot	Questionable
RJ HarveyRB · Hamstring	Questionable
J.K. DobbinsRB · Hamstring	Questionable
Duplicate PlayerILB	COV
Josh BanderasOLB	COV
Jonathon CooperDL	NA

Player props

Every posted line with the market's view and each player's last ten games against it.

Player props for this game haven't been posted by the books yet. They usually land Thursday to Saturday.

The betting view

Posted odds, the same odds with the bookmaker's margin removed, and where the model disagrees.

Read this before you bet: picking winners is not beating the price. At posted odds our 2025 flat-bet ROI was −6.9%. Use the model as one view of the game, not a tip.