This looks like a close contest, but we give a slight edge to PHI. PHI have been the more consistent team recently, while CHI have struggled to find their form.

Key matchups

Each unit ranked against all 32 teams on 2026 play-by-play through week 2. Longer bar is better; a gold rank marks the side with the edge.

When the Eagles have the balloffence against defence, rank of 32 (1st is best)

PHI offence

CHI defence

OverallEPA per play

12th

21st

PassingEPA per dropback

12th

23rd

RushingEPA per carry

20th

15th

Third downconversion rate

4th

9th

Pass protectionsack rate: allowed vs forced

23rd

11th

Biggest gap: pass protection, where the Bears defence has a 12-place edge.

When the Bears have the balloffence against defence, rank of 32 (1st is best)

CHI offence

PHI defence

OverallEPA per play

7th

22nd

PassingEPA per dropback

8th

18th

RushingEPA per carry

8th

25th

Third downconversion rate

5th

18th

Pass protectionsack rate: allowed vs forced

20th

25th

Biggest gap: rushing, where the Bears offence has a 17-place edge.

Only 2 weeks of data so far: treat ranks as a direction, not a verdict.

Form and history

Eagles this season

W24-22wk 1 vs WASW24-20wk 2 at TEN

Bears this season

W59-37wk 1 at CARL3-9wk 2 vs MIN

Last 2 meetingsPHI 1 · CHI 1

24-15CHI at PHI
2025-11

25-20PHI at CHI
2022-12

Injury report

Eaglesmodel impact 0.0

Johnny WilsonWR · Knee	IR
Grant CalcaterraTE · Back	IR
Eli StowersTE · Hamstring	IR
Landon DickersonOL · Knee	IR
Jakorian BennettDB · Knee	IR
Andre' SamDB · Foot	IR
Tucker LargeDB	PUP
Dallas GoedertTE · Knee - MCL	Doubtful
Saquon BarkleyRB · Arm	Questionable
Jonathan GreenardDE · Pectoral	Questionable

Bearsmodel impact 0.0

Anthony JohnsonDB	Out
Brittain BrownRB	IR
Nikola KalinicTE · Knee	IR
Hayden LargeTE	IR
Shemar TurnerDE · Knee - ACL	PUP
Tony FieldsLB	IR
Noah SewellLB · Achilles	PUP
Nephi SewellLB · Concussion	IR
Kyler GordonDB	PUP
Coby BryantDB · Knee	IR
Caleb WilliamsQB · Hamstring	Doubtful
Tyson BagentQB · Concussion	Questionable

Player props

Every posted line with the market's view and each player's last ten games against it.

Player props for this game haven't been posted by the books yet. They usually land Thursday to Saturday.

The betting view

Posted odds, the same odds with the bookmaker's margin removed, and where the model disagrees.

Read this before you bet: picking winners is not beating the price. At posted odds our 2025 flat-bet ROI was −6.9%. Use the model as one view of the game, not a tip.