DAL look like the play here. ARI have struggled recently, losing 4 of their last 5.

Matchups to watch

How each player gets his production, set against how this opponent has defended it over their last 17 games. After the game we grade who won each one.

Trey McBride · against DAL

Best way in: intermediate throws

Profile

Where his targets come from

Share of his targets. The white tick is the league average.

Short (under 10)

74%

Intermediate

22%

Deep (20+)

4%

Left side

31%

Middle

21%

Right side

48%

How DAL defend it

Ranked of 32, last 17 games. Green is a weakness to attack.

Short (under 10)

31st

Intermediate

31st

Deep (20+)

18th

Left side

31st

Middle

32nd

Right side

25th

Yards after catch allowed

28th

Sack rate forced

30th

The read

1. Dallas rank 31st against intermediate throws, which make up 22% of McBride's targets.
2. Work the left side: 31% of his targets go that way and Dallas rank 31st defending throws there.
3. Contested catches aren't his edge this week: he's 11th percentile for separation and 82nd for hands, and Trikweze Bridges allows fewer yards per target than the average corner (7.4).
4. Free data doesn't show who covers whom on each snap, so this is the defence's profile, not a confirmed one-on-one.

CeeDee Lamb · against ARI

Best way in: short throws

Profile

Where his targets come from

Share of his targets. The white tick is the league average.

Short (under 10)

55%

Intermediate

31%

Deep (20+)

14%

Left side

40%

Middle

17%

Right side

43%

How ARI defend it

Ranked of 32, last 17 games. Green is a weakness to attack.

Short (under 10)

30th

Intermediate

23rd

Deep (20+)

30th

Left side

29th

Middle

27th

Right side

31st

Yards after catch allowed

31st

Sack rate forced

17th

The read

1. Arizona rank 30th against short throws, which make up 55% of Lamb's targets.
2. Work the right side: 43% of his targets go that way and Arizona rank 31st defending throws there.
3. Free data doesn't show who covers whom on each snap, so this is the defence's profile, not a confirmed one-on-one.

Jacoby Brissett · against DAL

A pass defence to exploit

Profile

How DAL defend it

Ranked of 32, last 17 games. Green is a weakness to attack.

Short (under 10)

31st

Intermediate

31st

Deep (20+)

18th

Left side

31st

Middle

32nd

Right side

25th

Yards after catch allowed

28th

Sack rate forced

30th

The read

1. Dallas rank 32nd in EPA per dropback allowed over their last 17 games, and 31st against short throws.
2. Pressure: Dallas are 30th at getting sacks, and Arizona are 18th at avoiding them.

Unit by unit

Each unit ranked against all 32 teams on 2026 play-by-play through week 7. Longer bar is better; a gold rank marks the side with the edge.

When the Cardinals have the balloffence against defence, rank of 32 (1st is best)

ARI offence

DAL defence

OverallEPA per play

19th

32nd

PassingEPA per dropback

23rd

31st

RushingEPA per carry

18th

26th

Third downconversion rate

23rd

32nd

Pass protectionsack rate: allowed vs forced

10th

27th

Biggest gap: pass protection, where the Cardinals offence has a 17-place edge.

When the Cowboys have the balloffence against defence, rank of 32 (1st is best)

DAL offence

ARI defence

OverallEPA per play

6th

27th

PassingEPA per dropback

8th

30th

RushingEPA per carry

4th

10th

Third downconversion rate

3rd

14th

Pass protectionsack rate: allowed vs forced

1st

14th

Biggest gap: passing, where the Cowboys offence has a 22-place edge.

Form and history

Cardinals this season

W26-14wk 1 at LACL7-31wk 2 vs SEAL30-36wk 3 at SFL24-36wk 4 at NYGL21-45wk 5 vs DETW18-16wk 6 at LAL16-30wk 7 vs DEN

Cowboys this season

L20-28wk 1 at NYGW37-20wk 2 vs WASL31-34wk 3 vs BALW34-30wk 4 at HOUL16-24wk 5 vs TBL13-23wk 6 at GBW38-21wk 7 at PHI

Last 3 meetingsARI 3 · DAL 0

27-17ARI at DAL
2025-11

16-28DAL at ARI
2023-09

25-22ARI at DAL
2022-01

Injury report

Cardinalsmodel impact -0.7

Jalen BrooksWR · Wrist	IR
Trey BensonRB · Knee	IR
James ConnerRB · Foot	IR
Hunter LongTE · Knee	IR
Tip ReimanTE · Ankle	PUP
Kaleb ProctorDT · Knee - Meniscus	IR
Paris Johnson Jr.OL · Biceps	IR
Isaiah AdamsOL · Ankle	IR
Will JohnsonDB · Neck	IR
Chase BisontisG · Knee - MCL	IR
Zach CarterDL · Knee	IR
Joey BlountDB	IR

Cowboysmodel impact 0.0

Malik DavisRB · Hip	IR
Princeton FantTE · Knee - ACL + MCL	IR
Devin MooreCB	IR
Jonathan BullardDE · Calf	IR
Marist LiufauLB · Forearm	IR
Kelvin GilliamDT · Triceps	IR
Matt HennessyOL · Neck	IR
P.J. LockeDB · Foot	IR
Jalen ThompsonDB · Hamstring	IR
KaVontae TurpinWR · Ribs	Questionable
DJ RogersTE · Knee	Questionable
Dee WintersLB · Calf	Questionable

Player props

Every posted line with the market's view and each player's last ten games against it.

Player props for this game haven't been posted by the books yet. They usually land Thursday to Saturday.

The betting view

Posted odds, the same odds with the bookmaker's margin removed, and where the model disagrees.

Read this before you bet: picking winners is not beating the price. At posted odds our 2025 flat-bet ROI was −6.9%. Use the model as one view of the game, not a tip.