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Tetairoa McMillan4
Panthers · WR

Tetairoa McMillan

Carolina Panthers#41 yrs expArizona77 · 220 lb
71Form
64Established
Quality starter#69 of 145 wide receivers
Games17last 17
Targets1217.1 a game
Catches6957% caught
Yards102260 a game
TDs7
Skill profile · last 17 games · vs 145 wide receivers

Elite volume, weak after the catch

Each axis is a percentile against every qualified wide receiver over the same window. The dashed white shape is the position average; the gold ring marks elite (90th percentile).

Volume: 91th percentileDepth: 64th percentileSeparation: 40th percentileAfter the catch: 18th percentileHands: 26th percentileEfficiency: 45th percentileVolume91stDepth64thSeparation40thAfter the catch18thHands26thEfficiency45th
McMillanPosition averageElite, 90th
VolumeEliteshare of team targets
26.3%91st pct
Depthavg depth of target
12.2 yd64th pct
Separationyards of separation at the catch
2.66 yd40th pct
After the catchBelow avgYAC over expected per catch
-0.3 yd18th pct
HandsBelow avgdrop rate
5.8% drops26th pct
EfficiencyEPA per target
+0.1845th pct
F&D score · current form, last 17 games

71: quality starter

One number for how well McMillan has actually played lately, not a talent rating. 70% is the skill profile, weighted towards efficiency; the rest is how steady his games are and whether he still produces against the better defences. Ranked against every qualified wide receiver; 99 is the best. Over the last three seasons he scores 64 (#72 of 121).

Contributionthe skill profile, efficiency-weighted
50
Consistencyhow steady game to game
43
Holds up vs good Doutput against the tougher half
68
Trend, last 6 gamesCooling
Schedule facedAverage

Trend and schedule are shown for context but kept out of the number: over a handful of games they're mostly noise.

Top wide receivers · F&D form now
Puka Nacua99Jaxon Smith-Njigba99George Pickens98
Brandon Aiyuk98
Zay Flowers97
Tetairoa McMillan · #6971
The matchup · week 3 · CAR at CLE

Where McMillan can hurt the Browns

How he gets his production, set against how the Browns have held up in their last 17 games. Ranks are of 32.

Tetairoa McMillan · against CLE

No obvious soft spot

Profile

Where his targets come from

Share of his targets. The white tick is the league average.

Short (under 10)
45%
Intermediate
33%
Deep (20+)
21%
Left side
42%
Middle
20%
Right side
38%

How CLE defend it

Ranked of 32, last 17 games. Green is a weakness to attack.

Short (under 10)
6th
Intermediate
14th
Deep (20+)
7th
Left side
1st
Middle
16th
Right side
20th
Yards after catch allowed
22nd
Sack rate forced
3rd
The read
  1. Cleveland are mid-table or better at every depth over their last 17 games. McMillan's likeliest route is intermediate throws (33% of his targets), where they rank 14th.
  2. Don't force short throws: they've been McMillan's worst return (-0.26 EPA a target), and Cleveland are 6th there.
  3. Work the right side: 38% of his targets go that way and Cleveland rank 20th defending throws there.
  4. Contested catches aren't his edge this week: he's 40th percentile for separation and 26th for hands, and Myles Harden, Denzel Ward and Greg Newsome II all allow fewer yards per target than the average corner (7.4).
  5. Free data doesn't show who covers whom on each snap, so this is the defence's profile, not a confirmed one-on-one.

CLE's corners, last 17 games

Who is likely to see him. Free data doesn't say who covers whom on each snap, so this is the group, not a confirmed matchup.

CornerTargetsYds / targetCatch %Depth facedRating
Tyson Campbell637.557%14.290
Myles Harden636.573%6.196
Denzel Ward616.159%10.589
Greg Newsome II177.059%14.677

The average corner allows 7.4 yards per target. Red is tighter than average, green is looser.

Full game preview
Floor and ceiling

How his games are spread

0–9 yds: 1 games010–19 yds: 0 games20–29 yds: 2 games2030–39 yds: 2 games40–49 yds: 3 games4050–59 yds: 0 games60–69 yds: 2 games6070–79 yds: 3 games80–89 yds: 1 games8090–99 yds: 1 games100–109 yds: 1 games100110–119 yds: 0 games120–129 yds: 0 games120130–139 yds: 1 games
12/17games with 40+ yds
9/17games with 60+ yds
4/17games with 80+ yds
2/17games with 100+ yds
Role

Game by game

avg 7.1 targets25 wk 3: 825 wk 4: 825 wk 5: 825 wk 6: 525 wk 7: 525 wk 8: 1025 wk 9: 625 wk 10: 825 wk 11: 1225 wk 12: 725 wk 13: 225 wk 15: 425 wk 16: 1025 wk 17: 425 wk 18: 626 wk 1: 826 wk 2: 1025 wk 326 wk 2
Game log · last 17

Every game

GameOpponentTgtRecYdsTDAir ydsEPA
26 wk 2ATL1051010132+3.6
26 wk 1CHI85750119-2.5
25 wk 18TB6485089+4.5
25 wk 17SEA415049-11.4
25 wk 16TB106731117+6.0
25 wk 15NO4225046+1.3
25 wk 13LA2143146+5.7
25 wk 12SF7235197-4.6
25 wk 11ATL1281302118+10.3
25 wk 10NO8560089-2.1
25 wk 9GB6446061+2.3
25 wk 8BUF107990106+4.8
25 wk 7NYJ5333050+1.4
25 wk 6DAL5329252-3.4
25 wk 5MIA86730120+6.5
25 wk 4NE84620106-0.6
25 wk 3ATL8348078+0.1