
Pat Freiermuth
Elite after the catch, less so separation
Each axis is a percentile against every qualified tight end over the same window. The dashed white shape is the position average; the gold ring marks elite (90th percentile).
90: elite creator
One number for how well Freiermuth has actually played lately, not a talent rating. 70% is the skill profile, weighted towards efficiency; the rest is how steady his games are and whether he still produces against the better defences. Ranked against every qualified tight end; 99 is the best. Over the last three seasons he scores 88 (#13 of 62).
Trend and schedule are shown for context but kept out of the number: over a handful of games they're mostly noise.
This week's lines against his last 17
Each bar is a game; green cleared the line. "Market says" is the bookmaker's price with the margin taken out. Our own prop model is switched off until it passes a public audit, so this is history and the market, not a tip.
Receiving yards over 34.5
Receptions over 3.5
How his games are spread
Game by game
Every game
| Game | Opponent | Tgt | Rec | Yds | TD | Air yds | EPA | Over 34.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 wk 2 | 5 | 4 | 32 | 0 | 47 | -0.3 | No | |
| 26 wk 1 | 5 | 5 | 46 | 1 | 21 | +3.7 | Yes | |
| 25 wk 18 | 5 | 3 | 51 | 0 | 44 | +3.6 | Yes | |
| 25 wk 17 | 5 | 3 | 63 | 0 | 43 | +2.3 | Yes | |
| 25 wk 16 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 0 | 5 | -0.2 | No | |
| 25 wk 15 | 5 | 3 | 45 | 0 | 45 | +5.2 | Yes | |
| 25 wk 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 6 | -1.4 | No | |
| 25 wk 12 | 3 | 3 | 19 | 1 | 9 | +2.2 | No | |
| 25 wk 11 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 0 | 1 | +1.8 | No | |
| 25 wk 10 | 3 | 3 | 33 | 0 | 1 | +2.5 | No | |
| 25 wk 9 | 4 | 3 | 27 | 1 | 21 | +3.4 | No | |
| 25 wk 8 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 0 | 15 | -1.8 | No | |
| 25 wk 7 | 6 | 5 | 111 | 2 | 56 | +9.4 | Yes | |
| 25 wk 6 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 0 | 4 | +0.7 | No | |
| 25 wk 3 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 23 | -3.0 | No | |
| 25 wk 2 | 4 | 3 | 31 | 0 | 30 | -3.4 | No | |
| 25 wk 1 | 3 | 3 | 28 | 0 | 20 | +2.1 | No |