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9Michael Penix Jr.
Atlanta Falcons#92 yrs expWashington; Indiana75 · 220 lbElite sack avoidance, weak accuracy
Each axis is a percentile against every qualified quarterback over the same window. The dashed white shape is the position average; the gold ring marks elite (90th percentile).
78: quality starter
One number for how well Jr. has actually played lately, not a talent rating. 70% is the skill profile, weighted towards efficiency; the rest is how steady his games are and whether he still produces against the better defences. Ranked against every qualified quarterback; 99 is the best. The three-season score needs more games before it means anything.
Trend and schedule are shown for context but kept out of the number: over a handful of games they're mostly noise.
This week's lines against his last 14
Each bar is a game; green cleared the line. "Market says" is the bookmaker's price with the margin taken out. Our own prop model is switched off until it passes a public audit, so this is history and the market, not a tip.
Passing TDs over 1.5
Passing yards over 203.5
Rushing yards over 3.5
How his games are spread
Game by game
Every game
| Game | Opponent | Cmp | Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | Rush yds | EPA | Over 203.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 wk 11 |  CAR | 13 | 16 | 175 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | +10.7 | No |
| 25 wk 10 |  IND | 12 | 28 | 177 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -1 | -8.1 | No |
| 25 wk 9 |  NE | 22 | 37 | 221 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 19 | +3.7 | Yes |
| 25 wk 7 |  SF | 21 | 38 | 241 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -6.7 | Yes |
| 25 wk 6 |  BUF | 20 | 32 | 250 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -0.4 | Yes |
| 25 wk 4 |  WAS | 20 | 26 | 313 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +18.3 | Yes |
| 25 wk 3 | CAR | 18 | 36 | 172 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 9 | -18.8 | No |
| 25 wk 2 |  MIN | 13 | 21 | 135 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -1 | -3.2 | No |
| 25 wk 1 |  TB | 27 | 42 | 298 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 21 | +9.6 | Yes |
| 24 wk 18 | CAR | 21 | 38 | 312 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | +5.5 | Yes |
| 24 wk 17 | WAS | 19 | 35 | 223 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -0.6 | Yes |
| 24 wk 16 |  NYG | 18 | 27 | 202 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | +6.5 | No |
| 24 wk 11 |  DEN | 2 | 4 | 24 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +1.8 | No |
| 24 wk 7 |  SEA | 1 | 1 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.4 | No |