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8Aaron Rodgers
Pittsburgh Steelers#821 yrs expCalifornia; Butte College74 · 225 lbElite ball security, weak aggression
Each axis is a percentile against every qualified quarterback over the same window. The dashed white shape is the position average; the gold ring marks elite (90th percentile).
68: situation-dependent
One number for how well Rodgers has actually played lately, not a talent rating. 70% is the skill profile, weighted towards efficiency; the rest is how steady his games are and whether he still produces against the better defences. Ranked against every qualified quarterback; 99 is the best. Over the last three seasons he scores 60 (#30 of 44).
Trend and schedule are shown for context but kept out of the number: over a handful of games they're mostly noise.
This week's lines against his last 17
Each bar is a game; green cleared the line. "Market says" is the bookmaker's price with the margin taken out. Our own prop model is switched off until it passes a public audit, so this is history and the market, not a tip.
Passing TDs over 1.5
Passing yards over 219.5
How his games are spread
Game by game
Every game
| Game | Opponent | Cmp | Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | Rush yds | EPA | Over 219.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 wk 2 |  NE | 23 | 39 | 187 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -21.4 | No |
| 26 wk 1 |  ATL | 24 | 40 | 221 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -3 | -7.8 | Yes |
| 25 wk 18 |  BAL | 31 | 47 | 294 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20 | +7.5 | Yes |
| 25 wk 17 |  CLE | 21 | 39 | 168 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -12.3 | No |
| 25 wk 16 |  DET | 27 | 41 | 266 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | +11.0 | Yes |
| 25 wk 15 |  MIA | 23 | 27 | 224 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | +11.1 | Yes |
| 25 wk 14 | BAL | 23 | 34 | 284 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +10.6 | Yes |
| 25 wk 13 |  BUF | 10 | 21 | 117 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -9.6 | No |
| 25 wk 11 |  CIN | 9 | 15 | 116 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | +1.2 | No |
| 25 wk 10 |  LAC | 16 | 31 | 161 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | -18.1 | No |
| 25 wk 9 |  IND | 25 | 35 | 203 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | +0.0 | No |
| 25 wk 8 |  GB | 24 | 36 | 219 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -4.1 | No |
| 25 wk 7 | CIN | 23 | 34 | 249 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 6 | +13.3 | Yes |
| 25 wk 6 | CLE | 21 | 30 | 235 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +9.6 | Yes |
| 25 wk 4 |  MIN | 18 | 22 | 200 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | +3.8 | No |
| 25 wk 3 | NE | 16 | 23 | 139 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +0.2 | No |
| 25 wk 2 |  SEA | 18 | 33 | 203 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -6.2 | No |