JAX
BAL
CIN
ATL
CLE
NO
DAL
IND
DEN
CAR
DET
MIA
LA
WAS
NYG
PHI
NYJ
KC
HOU
LAC
LV
SF
ARI
SEA
GB
NE
TB
CHI
BUF
MINQB Index, week 8: Lamar Jackson on top
34 quarterbacks ranked on expected points per dropback, adjusted for pressure, and accuracy against expectation. Who climbed, who fell.
Our quarterback ranking through week 8. It rewards the two things a quarterback controls most: adding expected points on every dropback, and completing passes more often than the difficulty of the throws predicts. Pressure is taken into account, so a quarterback behind a leaky line isn't punished for it.
Top 10 by QB Index
The movers
Kirk Cousins (LV) up 5 to 11th. Against the Jets he averaged +0.61 expected points per dropback, completion over expected by 15.1 points. His season average is now +0.18.
Patrick Mahomes (KC) up 5 to 13th. Against Denver he averaged +0.25 expected points per dropback, completion over expected by 7.8 points. His season average is now +0.15.
Michael Penix Jr. (ATL) down 14 to 27th. Against Tampa Bay he averaged -0.83 expected points per dropback, completion under expected by 31.3 points. His season average is now +0.02.
Bryce Young (CAR) down 4 to 12th. Against Green Bay he averaged -0.16 expected points per dropback, completion under expected by 6.0 points. His season average is now +0.07.
Steelers
Aaron Rodgers is 29th of 34: -0.09 expected points per dropback, completion under expected by 1.9 points, pressured on 20% of dropbacks.
The full table
| # | Quarterback | Team | Index | EPA/db | CPOE | Pressured | Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lamar Jackson | BAL | 68 | +0.37 | +7.4 | 22% | ▲1 |
| 2 | Caleb Williams | CHI | 67 | +0.32 | +7.6 | 24% | ▼1 |
| 3 | Joe Burrow | CIN | 65 | +0.25 | +9.0 | 24% | ▲2 |
| 4 | Drake Maye | NE | 64 | +0.27 | +7.3 | 24% | – |
| 5 | Josh Allen | BUF | 61 | +0.34 | +4.0 | 19% | ▼2 |
| 6 | Trevor Lawrence | JAX | 61 | +0.28 | +3.9 | 21% | ▲1 |
| 7 | Brock Purdy | SF | 60 | +0.33 | +4.3 | 17% | ▼1 |
| 8 | Geno Smith | NYJ | 58 | +0.14 | +6.0 | 24% | ▲3 |
| 9 | Jayden Daniels | WAS | 56 | +0.14 | +5.6 | 22% | – |
| 10 | Jared Goff | DET | 56 | +0.26 | +1.1 | 19% | – |
| 11 | Kirk Cousins | LV | 55 | +0.18 | -0.4 | 24% | ▲5 |
| 12 | Bryce Young | CAR | 55 | +0.07 | -0.2 | 29% | ▼4 |
| 13 | Patrick Mahomes | KC | 53 | +0.15 | +1.6 | 21% | ▲5 |
| 14 | Dak Prescott | DAL | 52 | +0.16 | +0.2 | 21% | ▼2 |
| 15 | C.J. Stroud | HOU | 51 | +0.14 | +2.3 | 19% | – |
| 16 | Jordan Love | GB | 51 | +0.14 | -1.1 | 22% | ▲1 |
| 17 | Deshaun Watson | CLE | 49 | +0.02 | -0.1 | 26% | ▲2 |
| 18 | Sam Darnold | SEA | 49 | -0.03 | -2.5 | 30% | ▼4 |
| 19 | Tyler Huntley | BAL | 47 | +0.02 | +0.9 | 21% | ▲1 |
| 20 | Kyler Murray | MIN | 46 | +0.01 | +2.0 | 21% | ▲2 |
| 21 | Jalen Hurts | PHI | 46 | -0.03 | -2.2 | 27% | ▲2 |
| 22 | Malik Willis | MIA | 46 | +0.02 | -5.4 | 26% | ▲4 |
| 23 | Tyler Shough | NO | 46 | +0.04 | -0.1 | 21% | ▲1 |
| 24 | Jacoby Brissett | ARI | 46 | -0.05 | -0.3 | 26% | ▲1 |
| 25 | Matthew Stafford | LA | 45 | +0.10 | +0.6 | 16% | ▼4 |
| 26 | Cam Ward | TEN | 45 | -0.05 | -0.9 | 25% | ▲2 |
| 27 | Michael Penix Jr. | ATL | 44 | +0.02 | -4.3 | – | ▼14 |
| 28 | Bo Nix | DEN | 42 | -0.00 | -2.6 | 20% | ▼1 |
| 29 | Aaron Rodgers | PIT | 38 | -0.09 | -1.9 | 20% | – |
| 30 | Baker Mayfield | TB | 36 | -0.22 | -0.9 | 24% | – |
| 31 | Jameis Winston | NYG | 36 | -0.08 | -7.5 | 22% | ▲1 |
| 32 | Daniel Jones | IND | 36 | -0.18 | -3.7 | 23% | ▼1 |
| 33 | Jalon Daniels | TB | 35 | -0.11 | -6.6 | 22% | – |
| 34 | Justin Herbert | LAC | 34 | -0.24 | -4.2 | 25% | – |
Index: 50 is average and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Change is against last week.
Expected points added per dropback (sacks and scrambles included), adjusted to the league's average pressure rate, makes up 70%. Completion percentage over expected (CPOE), which accounts for how hard each throw was, makes up 30%. Both are put on the same scale first. Qualifying: 15+ dropbacks a game and at least half the team's games.
Sources: nflverse play-by-play (EPA, CPOE); Pro Football Reference via nflverse (pressures). Every number here comes straight from our pipeline.
