PIT
CLE
IND
WAS
ARI
NYG
DAL
HOU
GB
TB
JAX
CIN
LA
PHI
NE
BUF
NYJ
CHI
MIA
MIN
DEN
SF
KC
LV
LAC
SEA
DET
CAR
ATL
NO
BAL look like a strong play here. TEN have struggled recently, losing 3 of their last 3.
Matchups to watch
How each player gets his production, set against how this opponent has defended it over their last 17 games. After the game we grade who won each one.
Where his targets come from
Share of his targets. The white tick is the league average.
How BAL defend it
Ranked of 32, last 17 games. Green is a weakness to attack.
- Baltimore rank 27th against deep balls, and 13% of Robinson's targets travel 20+ yards (the average WR is at 17%).
- Don't force short throws: they've been Robinson's worst return (-0.08 EPA a target), and Baltimore are 13th there.
- Work the right side: 40% of his targets go that way and Baltimore rank 25th defending throws there.
- Free data doesn't show who covers whom on each snap, so this is the defence's profile, not a confirmed one-on-one.
Where his targets come from
Share of his targets. The white tick is the league average.
How TEN defend it
Ranked of 32, last 17 games. Green is a weakness to attack.
- Tennessee rank 31st against deep balls, and 17% of Flowers's targets travel 20+ yards (the average WR is at 17%).
- Work the middle: 27% of his targets go that way and Tennessee rank 31st defending throws there.
- Free data doesn't show who covers whom on each snap, so this is the defence's profile, not a confirmed one-on-one.
How TEN defend it
Ranked of 32, last 17 games. Green is a weakness to attack.
- Tennessee rank 28th in EPA per dropback allowed over their last 17 games, and 32nd against intermediate throws.
- Pressure: Tennessee are 7th at getting sacks, and Baltimore are 25th at avoiding them.
Unit by unit
Each unit ranked against all 32 teams on 2026 play-by-play through week 3. Longer bar is better; a gold rank marks the side with the edge.
When the Titans have the balloffence against defence, rank of 32 (1st is best)TEN offenceBAL defenceBiggest gap: rushing, where the Titans offence has a 20-place edge.
When the Ravens have the balloffence against defence, rank of 32 (1st is best)BAL offenceTEN defenceBiggest gap: passing, where the Ravens offence has a 20-place edge.
Only 3 weeks of data so far: treat ranks as a direction, not a verdict.
Form and history
Titans this seasonRavens this season24-16BAL at TEN2023-10
Injury report
Titansmodel impact 0.0| Jaren KanakTE · Pectoral | IR |
| Joshua WilliamsCB · Pectoral | IR |
| Jaylen HarrellDE · Knee - ACL | IR |
| Tanoh KpassagnonDE | IR |
| Dorian MausiLB | IR |
| Milo EiflerLB | IR |
| Jackson SlaterOL · Foot | IR |
| Fernando CarmonaG · Ankle | IR |
| Kendell BrooksDB | IR |
| Donnie ErnsbergerTE | Questionable |
| Dominique HamptonCB | Questionable |
Ravensmodel impact 0.0| Jovaughn GwynOL · Ankle | Out |
| Ethan PocicOL · Knee | Out |
| Skylar ThompsonQB | IR |
| Ja'Kobi LaneWR · Wrist | IR |
| Adam RandallRB | IR |
| Bilhal KoneCB · Lower Body | IR |
| Danny PinterG · Knee | IR |
| T.J. TampaDB · Knee | IR |
| Jahquez RobinsonDB | IR |
| Ronnie StanleyT · Toe | Questionable |
Player props
Every posted line with the market's view and each player's last ten games against it.
Player props for this game haven't been posted by the books yet. They usually land Thursday to Saturday.
The betting view
Posted odds, the same odds with the bookmaker's margin removed, and where the model disagrees.
Read this before you bet: picking winners is not beating the price. At posted odds our 2025 flat-bet ROI was −6.9%. Use the model as one view of the game, not a tip.
What the model sees
Model favors BAL (79%) by 9.9 points.