
Matthew Golden
Best at after the catch, less so hands
Each axis is a percentile against every qualified wide receiver over the same window. The dashed white shape is the position average; the gold ring marks elite (90th percentile).
81: high-end starter
One number for how well Golden has actually played lately, not a talent rating. 70% is the skill profile, weighted towards efficiency; the rest is how steady his games are and whether he still produces against the better defences. Ranked against every qualified wide receiver; 99 is the best. The three-season score needs more games before it means anything.
Trend and schedule are shown for context but kept out of the number: over a handful of games they're mostly noise.
This week's lines against his last 16
Each bar is a game; green cleared the line. "Market says" is the bookmaker's price with the margin taken out. Our own prop model is switched off until it passes a public audit, so this is history and the market, not a tip.
Receiving yards over 54.5
Receptions over 4.5
How his games are spread
Game by game
Every game
| Game | Opponent | Tgt | Rec | Yds | TD | Air yds | EPA | Over 54.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 wk 2 | 6 | 4 | 58 | 0 | 80 | +1.3 | Yes | |
| 26 wk 1 | 12 | 6 | 95 | 0 | 137 | +0.8 | Yes | |
| 25 wk 18 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 9 | -0.4 | No | |
| 25 wk 17 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 0 | 57 | -1.3 | No | |
| 25 wk 16 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | -0.6 | No | |
| 25 wk 15 | 4 | 3 | 55 | 0 | 69 | +4.1 | Yes | |
| 25 wk 14 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | -4.5 | No | |
| 25 wk 11 | 3 | 1 | 24 | 0 | 64 | +0.3 | No | |
| 25 wk 9 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 47 | -2.0 | No | |
| 25 wk 8 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 2 | -1.3 | No | |
| 25 wk 7 | 4 | 4 | 37 | 0 | 14 | +5.3 | No | |
| 25 wk 6 | 5 | 3 | 86 | 0 | 88 | +6.6 | Yes | |
| 25 wk 4 | 6 | 5 | 58 | 0 | 64 | +8.1 | Yes | |
| 25 wk 3 | 4 | 4 | 52 | 0 | 34 | +3.9 | No | |
| 25 wk 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 81 | -3.5 | No | |
| 25 wk 1 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 0 | 10 | +2.1 | No |