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4DFourth & Data
Fri 01:15ATLGB70%Sun 18:00CAR64%CLESun 18:00CIN55%PITSun 18:00HOUIND53%Sun 18:00KC59%MIASun 18:00LACBUF83%Sun 18:00NEJAX69%Sun 18:00NYJDET53%Sun 18:00SEA71%WASSun 18:00TEN53%NYGSun 21:05ARISF67%Sun 21:05MIN52%TBSun 21:25BALDAL54%Sun 21:25LVNO57%Mon 01:20LA65%DENTue 01:15PHI52%CHI
Caleb Williams18
Bears · QB

Caleb Williams

Chicago Bears#182 yrs expUSC; Oklahoma73 · 226 lb
86Form
65Established
High-end starter#15 of 66 quarterbacksBreakout: 21 above his last three seasons
Games17last 17
Completion58.4%326/558
Yards3932231 a game
TD–INT26–7
EPA / dropback+0.12
Skill profile · last 17 games · vs 66 quarterbacks

Elite sack avoidance, weak accuracy

Each axis is a percentile against every qualified quarterback over the same window. The dashed white shape is the position average; the gold ring marks elite (90th percentile).

Accuracy: 25th percentileAggression: 73th percentileEfficiency: 83th percentileBall security: 61th percentileSack avoidance: 96th percentileLegs: 54th percentileAccuracy25thAggression73rdEfficiency83rdBall security61stSack avoidance96thLegs54th
WilliamsPosition averageElite, 90th
AccuracyBelow avgcompletion % over expected
-2.225th pct
AggressionAbove avgavg intended air yards
8.3 yd73rd pct
EfficiencyAbove avgEPA per dropback
+0.1283rd pct
Ball securityinterception-worthy throws
2.7% INT-worthy61st pct
Sack avoidanceElitesack rate
4.0% sacked96th pct
Legsrushing EPA per game
+0.52/g54th pct
F&D score · current form, last 17 games

86: high-end starter

One number for how well Williams has actually played lately, not a talent rating. 70% is the skill profile, weighted towards efficiency; the rest is how steady his games are and whether he still produces against the better defences. Ranked against every qualified quarterback; 99 is the best. Over the last three seasons he scores 65 (#26 of 44).

Contributionthe skill profile, efficiency-weighted
66
Consistencyhow steady game to game
73
Holds up vs good Doutput against the tougher half
53
Trend, last 6 gamesRising
Schedule facedSoft

Trend and schedule are shown for context but kept out of the number: over a handful of games they're mostly noise.

Top quarterbacks · F&D form now
Dak Prescott99
Derek Carr98
Jordan Love97Drake Maye96Brock Purdy95
Caleb Williams · #1586
Floor and ceiling

How his games are spread

0–24 yds: 0 games025–49 yds: 0 games50–74 yds: 0 games5075–99 yds: 0 games100–124 yds: 0 games100125–149 yds: 1 games150–174 yds: 2 games150175–199 yds: 2 games200–224 yds: 3 games200225–249 yds: 2 games250–274 yds: 3 games250275–299 yds: 3 games300–324 yds: 0 games300325–349 yds: 1 games
12/17games with 200+ yds
7/17games with 250+ yds
1/17games with 300+ yds
0/17games with 350+ yds
Role

Game by game

avg 231.3 yds25 wk 3: 29825 wk 4: 21225 wk 6: 25225 wk 7: 17225 wk 8: 28525 wk 9: 28025 wk 10: 22025 wk 11: 19325 wk 12: 23925 wk 13: 15425 wk 14: 18625 wk 15: 24225 wk 16: 25025 wk 17: 33025 wk 18: 21226 wk 1: 26926 wk 2: 13825 wk 326 wk 2
Game log · last 17

Every game

GameOpponentCmpAttYdsTDINTSackedRush ydsEPA
26 wk 2MIN152613801342-1.0
26 wk 1CAR212926920265+18.6
25 wk 18DET20332122111-1.4
25 wk 17SF254233020018+17.9
25 wk 16GB193425020030+5.7
25 wk 15CLE172824220313+3.3
25 wk 14GB193518621115-0.2
25 wk 13PHI173615411213-6.0
25 wk 12PIT193523930121+0.5
25 wk 11MIN163219300226-0.9
25 wk 10NYG203622010063-6.1
25 wk 9CIN203428030253+14.0
25 wk 8BAL253828501124+1.1
25 wk 7NO1526172011-2+2.1
25 wk 6WAS17292521033+3.3
25 wk 4LV223721211113-1.1
25 wk 3DAL192829840012+18.0