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84Theo Johnson
New York Giants#842 yrs expPenn State78 · 264 lbElite depth, weak separation
Each axis is a percentile against every qualified tight end over the same window. The dashed white shape is the position average; the gold ring marks elite (90th percentile).
61: situation-dependent
One number for how well Johnson has actually played lately, not a talent rating. 70% is the skill profile, weighted towards efficiency; the rest is how steady his games are and whether he still produces against the better defences. Ranked against every qualified tight end; 99 is the best. Over the last three seasons he scores 46 (#57 of 62).
Trend and schedule are shown for context but kept out of the number: over a handful of games they're mostly noise.
This week's lines against his last 17
Each bar is a game; green cleared the line. "Market says" is the bookmaker's price with the margin taken out. Our own prop model is switched off until it passes a public audit, so this is history and the market, not a tip.
Receiving yards over 4.5
Receptions over 0.5
How his games are spread
Game by game
Every game
| Game | Opponent | Tgt | Rec | Yds | TD | Air yds | EPA | Over 4.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 wk 5 |  WAS | 3 | 2 | 35 | 0 | 29 | +2.6 | Yes |
| 26 wk 4 |  ARI | 1 | 1 | 11 | 1 | 11 | +2.2 | Yes |
| 26 wk 2 |  LA | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 55 | -3.4 | No |
| 26 wk 1 |  DAL | 1 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 2 | +0.9 | Yes |
| 25 wk 16 |  MIN | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | -4.4 | No |
| 25 wk 15 | WAS | 4 | 3 | 72 | 0 | 43 | +3.4 | Yes |
| 25 wk 13 |  NE | 8 | 3 | 29 | 0 | 103 | -4.1 | Yes |
| 25 wk 12 |  DET | 5 | 3 | 77 | 0 | 79 | +3.1 | Yes |
| 25 wk 11 |  GB | 4 | 3 | 36 | 0 | 34 | +3.8 | Yes |
| 25 wk 10 |  CHI | 8 | 7 | 75 | 0 | 72 | +3.3 | Yes |
| 25 wk 9 |  SF | 6 | 3 | 27 | 1 | 46 | +0.4 | Yes |
| 25 wk 8 |  PHI | 4 | 3 | 20 | 0 | 36 | +2.2 | Yes |
| 25 wk 7 |  DEN | 7 | 3 | 66 | 1 | 32 | +1.2 | Yes |
| 25 wk 6 | PHI | 4 | 2 | 27 | 0 | 39 | +0.2 | Yes |
| 25 wk 5 |  NO | 7 | 6 | 33 | 2 | 40 | +1.9 | Yes |
| 25 wk 4 |  LAC | 5 | 3 | 17 | 1 | 38 | +0.7 | Yes |
| 25 wk 3 |  KC | 2 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 7 | -2.3 | Yes |