CHI
SEAWashington 27, Philadelphia 10: how it played out
We had Washington at 58%. The market had Washington by 6. Washington won 27-10 at Northwest Stadium. Philadelphia started Tanner McKee rather than Jalen Hurts.
We had Washington at 58%. The market had Washington by 6. Washington won 27-10 at Northwest Stadium. Our lean held, but at 58% that was close to a coin flip.
How it swung
1. In the 1st quarter (5:34), Chig Okonkwo lost it after a 11-yard catch; Zack Baun recovered the fumble, a 11-point swing in win probability towards Philadelphia.
2. In the 3rd quarter (4:51), Tanner McKee found Dallas Goedert for 16 yards, a 13-point swing in win probability towards Philadelphia.
3. In the 3rd quarter (2:59), Tanner McKee sacked at was 44 for -7 yards. fumbles, recovered by Charles Omenihu at was 40, a 20-point swing in win probability towards Washington.
Who played quarterback
Philadelphia started Tanner McKee rather than Jalen Hurts.
Who won the matchups
Dallas Goedert against Washington: Even. Goedert had 30 yards on 4 targets, close to his usual 41.
Stefon Diggs against Philadelphia: Even. Diggs had 38 yards on 6 targets, close to his usual 51.
Not much. A 58% lean landing is close to a coin flip going our way; Philadelphia started Tanner McKee, not Jalen Hurts, and the model rated them on Jalen Hurts's games. The full record, including the misses, is on the Record page.
Sources: nflverse play-by-play 2026; NFL injury report, week 8; our published pre-kickoff run 2026-11-01T09-12-49Z_automation. Every number here comes straight from our pipeline.
