CHI
SEAPittsburgh 27, Cleveland 6: how it played out
We had Pittsburgh at 66%. The market had Pittsburgh by 3.5. Pittsburgh won 27-6 at Acrisure Stadium. Deshaun Watson was hurt during the game and came back; Shedeur Sanders (2 dropbacks) filled in.
We had Pittsburgh at 66%. The market had Pittsburgh by 3.5. Pittsburgh won 27-6 at Acrisure Stadium. We were right, and so was the market.
How it swung
1. In the 1st quarter (12:17), Shedeur Sanders found Harold Fannin Jr. for 2 yards, a 5-point swing in win probability towards Pittsburgh.
2. In the 1st quarter (10:41), Patrick Queen sacked Deshaun Watson, forcing a fumble, a 12-point swing in win probability towards Pittsburgh.
Who played quarterback
Deshaun Watson was hurt during the game and came back; Shedeur Sanders (2 dropbacks) filled in.
Who won the matchups
DK Metcalf against Cleveland: Cleveland won it. Metcalf held to 4 yards on 6 targets, against his usual 51.
T.J. Watt against Cleveland: Watt won it. 2 sacks and 1 other QB hit, against his usual 1.4 sacks and hits a game.
Harold Fannin Jr. against Pittsburgh: Fannin won it. Fannin won it deep: 62 of his 154 yards came on throws of 20+ yards.
The model's call held up. One right pick isn't a trend; the full record is on the Record page.
Sources: nflverse play-by-play 2026; NFL injury report, week 8; our published pre-kickoff run 2026-11-01T09-12-49Z_automation. Every number here comes straight from our pipeline.
